Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.395479 0.437616 0.482888 0.535233 0.594198 0.658688 0.734730
2025-04-20 0.330553 0.389364 0.457239 0.541755 0.644703 0.766702 0.923219
2025-04-27 0.293699 0.360564 0.441509 0.547493 0.683742 0.854546 1.087297
2025-05-04 0.266661 0.338398 0.428650 0.551763 0.717233 0.934655 1.246486
2025-05-11 0.244470 0.319048 0.415989 0.552959 0.744290 1.006264 1.399439
2025-05-18 0.228215 0.305360 0.408615 0.559212 0.777100 1.086958 1.572060
2025-05-25 0.208527 0.284976 0.389876 0.547090 0.781560 1.126187 1.686157
2025-06-01 0.197763 0.275903 0.385769 0.554906 0.814884 1.209859 1.876245
2025-06-08 0.184941 0.262738 0.374499 0.550702 0.828944 1.264455 2.024801
2025-06-15 0.175899 0.254309 0.369320 0.554908 0.855825 1.340904 2.217160
2025-06-22 0.164652 0.241727 0.356863 0.546503 0.861295 1.382277 2.352766
2025-06-29 0.155351 0.231436 0.347100 0.541406 0.871362 1.431623 2.507253
2025-07-06 0.142892 0.215630 0.327923 0.519887 0.852525 1.430443 2.570554
2025-07-13 0.137332 0.210347 0.325102 0.525310 0.880552 1.514668 2.806731
2025-07-20 0.132286 0.205518 0.322599 0.530904 0.909086 1.602165 3.059879
2025-07-27 0.127361 0.200544 0.319462 0.535022 0.935073 1.687093 3.318313
2025-08-03 0.122273 0.194969 0.314908 0.536177 0.955458 1.762938 3.567090
2025-08-10 0.118422 0.191222 0.313183 0.542212 0.985453 1.860407 3.875714
2025-08-17 0.111873 0.182498 0.302288 0.530512 0.979879 1.885105 4.023309
2025-08-24 0.108892 0.179762 0.301722 0.538057 1.012967 1.992961 4.378506
2025-08-31 0.104315 0.173970 0.295340 0.533999 1.022110 2.050676 4.621415
2025-09-07 0.101245 0.170675 0.293254 0.538059 1.048231 2.147689 4.974929
2025-09-14 0.096635 0.164374 0.285292 0.529945 1.047948 2.185731 5.183468